Coalville MP 'would lose seat' if election were to be held today says new nationwide poll
A major new poll suggests Coalville MP Amanda Hack would lose the North West Leicestershire seat if a General Election were to be held now.
The poll was conducted by More in Common UK anticipates Labour would still come out on top, but with heavy losses when it comes to parliamentary seats.
They would be expected to drop nearly 200 seats, and come out just six seats ahead of the Conservatives at 228 MPs to 222, leaving the country with a hung parliament.
This means no one party would have enough seats to be in overall control.
Ms Hack took the North West Leicestershire seat, which won by Andrew Bridgen in 2019 before he was permanently expelled from the Conservative Party after comparing the use of Covid jabs to the Holocaust. In July, she beat the Conservative candidate, Craig Smith, 16,871 votes to 15,859.
If that election were to be held today, the Conservatives would take 31 per cent of the vote to Labour's 24 per cent.
In Hinckley and Bosworth, Luke Evans would be expected to return if he ran again.
Across the country, Reform would be expected to make gains, coming out with 72 seats compared to its current five.
This would see the Liberal Democrats knocked into fourth position, taking 32 seats compared to the 72 it won in July.
More In Common said the poll reflects current voting intentions and cannot be used to predict the ultimate results of the next election, considering it is four and a half years away.
Luke Tryl, Executive Director of More in Common UK, said: "The poll confirms the fragmentation of British politics that we saw in July's election has only accelerated in Labour's six months in office.
"The First Past the Post system is struggling to deal with that degree of fragmentation, which is why our model shows so many seats on a three-way knife edge, and many being won on exceptionally small shares of the vote.
"There is no doubt that many voters have found the start of the Starmer Government disappointing and Labour's estimated vote share would drop significantly were there to be an election tomorrow.
"Far from the usual electoral honeymoon, our model estimates that Labour would lose nearly 200 of the seats they won in July's election.
"While the new Government is still in its infancy it is clear that decisions such as means testing the winter fuel allowance and other budget measures have landed badly. The pressure from the public is now on the Government to deliver.
"However, our model also shows the challenge the Conservatives face.
"Despite the model's estimate of seat gains, they would be heading for their second worst share of the vote in history, and without making significant gains against Reform on the right, and the Liberal Democrats on the left, would struggle to come even close to being able to form a majority Government.
"Instead, the big beneficiaries of the unpopularity of both main parties are Reform UK with our model estimating their number of seats will increase 14 fold."
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